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Riksbank supported the SEK while the USD was losing positions amid political tensions and investors' worries about the rate change by the FED.

The rates continue in the frames of a downward trend, although in the period from May 19 until June 27 the trend changed to a flat one. It seemed that the downward trend had been finally completed at the beginning of July. However, market volatility has suddenly increased, and the downward trend has been restored.
This week there were no significant factors that would affect the USD/SEK rates. The main factor that influence the value of the USD in recent weeks remains the political tension in the United States and investors' worries about the future for the FED rate hikes due to weak economic data in the United States. At the same time, Federal Reserve officials maintain the stance that the rates should be raised more before the end of 2017. Nevertheless, investors suppose that the Federal Reserve may delay increasing the interest rate if the situation in the U.S. economy changes in a positive way and if political tensions in the US grow. Based on this, the dollar lost positions against most currencies while investors prefer safe-haven instruments such as JPY and Gold.

Read more here: https://superforex.com/analytics/usd...orecast-050717

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Today we direct our attention to the USD/JPY currency pair. Yesterday the USD/JPY showed significant progress and was quite active during the day, but it eventually failed to overcome the 113.60 level and retracted. Still, we believe the pair would likely continue to test its resistances and make space for further upward movement, as long as the pair keeps trading above the level of 113.

To predict future highs, we can reliably use the guidance of the nearby resistance levels for the USD/JPY - we have resistances at 113.19, 113.41, and 113.63. We believe that overcoming these resistance levels is the most likely course for the pair as it stands now.

Still, it’s good to be prepared for the alternative scenario as well. On the downside, we have several nearby support levels such as 112.75, 112.50, and 112. If the first support is breached, likely we’d see the pair play around the other two supports as well.

At this point the movements of the USD/JPY largely depend on trader sentiment and market behavior. The level of 114 stands before us as a psychological barrier, and if the pair is pushed beyond it, we can see it grow further up to 115 even.

As of the moment of this article’s publication the USD/JPY is trading around the first level of resistance at 113.19. Most technical indicators agree that the best course of action is a strong buy stance.

Read more: https://superforex.com/analytics

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